- Setup
- Mean-reversion recovery bounce after a large ATH de-rating on EP and WATCHMAN guidance cuts.
- Catalyst
- Re-rating if the market stabilizes the growth baseline and prices restructuring, pipeline, and Penumbra.
- Scope
- Capital-gain swing only — not income and not a multi-year medtech compounder for this plan.
Swings
Swing trade ideas
High-level snapshots of current swing plans. Full levels, scale-in, and exits are a new member feature coming soon.
- Setup
- Range mean-reversion bounce after a large ATH drawdown, timed to a beer / consumer-sentiment pickup.
- Catalyst
- Share gains plus a roughly flat FY27 organic guide and FCF / buybacks as a cash-flow floor; the dividend is a bonus, not the reason to hold.
- Scope
- Bounce trade only — not a multi-year Veracruz capacity compounder for this plan.
- Setup
- Range mean-reversion swing timed to a Western Canada gas-cycle bounce (AECO firming, storage draw, deferred volumes).
- Catalyst
- TTF/JKM plus hedges can cushion cash flow so the equity can bounce even if AECO is only modestly better.
- Scope
- Swing window only — not a dividend story, not crude beta, and not a multi-year LNG compounder for this plan.
- Setup
- Range mean-reversion swing: the market overweights a known near-term margin-rate squeeze versus sticky ticket, pass-through, and network growth.
- Catalyst
- Hormuz keeps Group III / finished-lube supply tight, while a strong Q3 print (revenue, EPS, SSS, raised guide) supports the operating story.
- Scope
- Capital-gain swing only — not a multi-year EV-or-bust compounder for this plan.
- Setup
- Range mean-reversion swing: the market overweights a known near-term margin-rate squeeze versus sticky ticket, pass-through, and network growth.
- Catalyst
- Hormuz keeps Group III / finished-lube supply tight, while a strong Q3 print (revenue, EPS, SSS, raised guide) supports the operating story.
- Scope
- Capital-gain swing only — not a multi-year EV-or-bust compounder for this plan.